WORLD MARKET UPDATES
https://globaleconomic-trendsanalysis.blogspot.com/2010/12/world-market-updates_10.html
| US Market Updates | |||
Stocks Seeing Modest Strength In Early Trading While buying interest remains relatively subdued, stocks are seeing modest strength in early trading on Friday. The major averages are currently all in positive territory after ending the previous session on opposite sides of the unchanged line. The choppy trading extends a recent lackluster trend on Wall Street, with traders expressing some uncertainty about the near-term outlook for the markets amid lingering concerns about the pace of the economic recovery going forward. In economic news, Commerce Department reported that the trade deficit narrowed to $38.7 billion in October from a revised $44.6 billion in September. Economists had expected the deficit to widen to $44.5 billion from the $44.0 billion originally reported for the previous month. The narrower deficit reflected a significant increase in exports, which surged up by 3.2 percent, as well as a modest decrease in imports, which slipped by 0.5 percent. Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak, noted that the much narrower than expected trade deficit may raise fourth quarter GDP estimates by 0.4 to 0.5 percentage points. At 9:55 a.m. ET, traders will be presented with a preliminary report on the Reuters/University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey for December. Economists expect the consumer sentiment index to edge slightly higher to 72.5 from a reading of 71.6 recorded in November. In news altering the market landscape, Standard & Poor's announced a shuffle in the organization of the S&P 500. Netflix Inc. (NFLX), Newfield Exploration (NFX) and F5 Networks Inc. (FFIV) are scheduled to move from the S&P MidCap 400 Index to the S&P 500, replacing Office Depot (ODP), New York Times (NYT) and Eastman Kodak (EK). Cablevision Systems Corp. (CVC) is also joining the S&P 500 in place of King Pharmaceuticals Inc. (KG), which is being absorbed by Pfizer Inc. (PFE) in a takeover deal worth $3.6 billion. Most of the major sectors are showing only modest moves, although considerable strength is visible in the healthcare provider sector. Tenet Healthcare (THC) is leading the sector higher after Community Health Systems (CYH) offered to acquire the hospital operator for about $3 billion. While modest strength is also visible among defense, tobacco, and health insurance stocks, traders seem reluctant to continue buying stocks. The major averages are currently posting modest gains, off their highs for the young session. The Dow is up 12.45 points or 0.1 percent at 11,382.51, the Nasdaq is up 4.47 points or 0.2 percent at 2,621.14 and the S&P 500 is up 2.80 points or 0.2 percent at 1,235.80. | |||
European Market Reports | |||
French Market Modestly Up The French market is modestly up in afternoon trading Friday, as global economic worries diminished. Construction-related stocks and carmakers are higher, while lenders are mixed. In economic news, Germany's annual wholesale price inflation increased 7.8% in November, the highest annual rate since July 2008, a report by the Federal Statistical Office showed. The growth was faster than the 7.7% rise in the previous month. A year earlier, wholesale prices were down 3.2%. British output price index rose at a slower annual pace of 3.9% in November compared with a 4% increase in October, the Office for National Statistics said Friday. Economists had forecast output prices to increase by 4%. French manufacturing unexpectedly fell for the second consecutive month, as some sectors were paralyzed by widespread strikes, INSEE said. Manufacturing output volume fell 0.8% from the previous month, following a 0.1% drop in September. Economists had predicted a 0.4% increase. Meanwhile, China's central bank Friday raised commercial banks' reserve requirement ratio by another 50 points. That was the sixth such rate hike this year and follows two increases in November. The measure is intended to curb inflationary pressures arising from commodity and property prices. After opening higher at 3,870, the CAC 40 has been witnessing volatile trading, which saw the index dip into negative territory. The index is currently adding 0.10%. Tire firm Michelin is leading the gainers adding 2.3%. Department stores operator PPR is up 2% and Machinery & equipment firm Alstom is adding 1.8%. Builders Vinci and Bouygues are moderately up and building products maker Saint-Gobain is rising modestly. Carmakers Renault and Peugeot are adding 1.6% and 1.5% respectively. Among banks, Credit Agricole is gaining 0.9% and BNP Paribas is slightly up.Societe Generale and Natixis are lower. Insurer Axa is falling 1%. Cement giant Lafarge, chipmaker STMicroelectronics, oil and gas firm Total and media company Vivendi are moderately down. Elsewhere in Europe, the FTSE 100 is adding 0.06% and the German DAX is gaining 0.60%. Across Asia/Pacific, major markets ended on a mixed note. Australia's All Ordinariesrose 0.05%, China's Shanghai Composite Index added 1.07% and India's BSE Sensex gained 1.4%. However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng slipped 0.04% and Japan'sNikkei 225 lost 0.72%. In the U.S., futures point to a higher open on Wall Street. In the previous session, theDow edged down less than a tenth of a percent, while the Nasdaq climbed 0.3% and the S&P 500 rose 0.4%. Crude for January delivery is adding $0.34 at $88.71 per barrel and February gold is down $3.3 at $1389.5 an ounce. | |||
Asia Market Updates | |||
Indian Market Rebounds On Short Covering, IIP Data Positive industrial output report for October along with significant short covering following recent sell-off helped the Indian market snap a three-day fall on Friday. With a late-session rally lifting shares further across all sectors, the benchmark indexesclosed near the day's high, shrugging off lackluster global cues. In the 30-share Sensex pack, heavyweights such as ICICI Bank (up 5.71%), Reliance Industries (up 4%), Wipro (up 3%), Reliance Communication (up 2.98%), Hindalco(up 2.34%), Tata Steel (up 2.28%) and SBI (up 1.87%) were the prominent gainers. However, Bharti Airtel ended down 2.27% after telecommunications minister Kapil Sibal announced the setting up of a one-man committee comprising of a retired Supreme Court judge to examine appropriateness of procedures (adopted) by DoT in the issuance of licenses and allocation of spectrum during the period 2001-2009. Tata Motors shed nearly 2%, a day after it offered a 4-year manufacturer's warranty on its Nano cars. Bajaj Auto (down 2.65%), HDFC Bank (down 0.82%), Cipla (down 0.78%), HDFC (down 0.55%), DLF (down 0.19%) and Infosys (down 0.13%) also ended in the red. The BSE Sensex ended up 267 points or 1.39% at 19,509, while the broader Niftyclimbed 91 points or 1.58% to 5,857. The BSE mid-cap and small-cap indexes rose over 2% each and gaining shares outpaced declining ones in the ratio of 2:1. Scam-hit LIC Housing Finance climbed 3.52%, snapping a five-day fall. Battered stocks (facing allegations of share price manipulation) like Ruchi Soya and KS Oilsjumped by 10%-20%. S Kumars Nationwide soared nearly 9% after its subsidiary Reid & Taylor (India) filed its Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP) with market regulator SEBI for its upcoming initial public offering. Tata Elxsi (up 5.48%) and Pratibha Industries (up 4.10%) rallied on fund buying.Nagarjuna Construction (up 4.84%) and Kalpataru Power Transmission (up 7.30%) climbed on winning new orders. After two disappointing months, India's industrial output clawed back to the double-digit growth in October, with the IIP index rising 10.8% versus expectations for an 8.8% increase, boosted by improved performance of the sectors such as ship building, power equipment and generators along with a lower base effect, official data released today showed. The industrial production, which had risen to a dizzying 15.2% in July, dipped sharply to 6.91% in August and further to 4.4% in September. However, the upbeat IIP dataincreased expectations of further monetary tightening in the upcoming policy review meet on December 16. On the global front, the other Asian markets closed mostly lower on Friday on rate hike concerns stemming from China, while European stocks were mixed in early trading and the Dow futures were little changed ahead of U.S. economic reports due later in the day on international trade, import and export prices and consumer sentiment. However, China's benchmark Shanghai Composite index rose a little over a percent after data showing record exports and imports in November offset policy tightening worries ahead of inflation data due on Saturday. Chinese exports surged up 34.9% year-over-year in November from October's 22.9% rise and well past expectations for a 23.6% increase, while imports climbed 37.7%, pulling down the trade surplus to $22.9 billion for November from $27.2 billion in the previous month. However, the surge in shipments is likely to increase pressure on Beijing to allow a faster rise in the value of the yuan, while the large surplus will likely add to the already substantial money supply in the country, giving way to inflationary pressures, analysts said. Strong Chinese export and import figures along with a decline in U.S. Treasury yieldshelped the euro won some reprieve against the dollar. Likewise, crude futures gained modestly in Asian deals ahead of a OPEC meet tomorrow. | |||
Forex Top Story | |||
Dollar Softens Slightly Ahead Of Data Deluge The dollar saw little movement against most major currencies Friday morning, but drifted lower versus the sterling ahead of a deluge of data related to the struggling United States economy. Speculation that China will tighten monetary policy to cool down its robust economy has dampened risk appetite, giving the dollar a measure of support versus the euro. Europe's lingering sovereign debt problems are also driving interest in the dollar. WhileIreland and Greece have been bailed out, if the crisis spreads to larger Spain, the European Union may be fractured. Ireland will start tapping its bailing fund early in 2011. The dollar was steady near $1.3250 against the euro, having bounced around that mark for the past week. Against the sterling, the dollar dipped to a 3-week low of $1.5861. The buck has drifted gradually lower in December amid hopes that the UK economy is in better shape than once feared. UK's construction output volume increased 3.2% in the three months ended in October compared to the previous three months period, a report by the Office for National Statistics showed on Friday The dollar was also slightly weaker versus the yen, easing to Y83.50. The buck has been unable to sustain any significant momentum in moving away from a recent 15-year low of 80.22. The Commerce Department will table its report on trade gap data for October at 8.30 a.m. ET. Economists predict that the trade gap widened to $44.4 billion for the month from $44.0 billion reported for the previous month. Another report detailing the export and import price indices for November will also be tabled by the Commerce Department at 8.30 a.m. ET. At 9.55 a.m. ET, traders will be presented with a preliminary report of the Reuters/University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey for November. Economists predict that the consumer sentiment index edged slightly higher to 72 for the month from 71.6 reported for the previous month. At 2.00 p.m ET, the Treasury Department will table its Treasury Budget for November, which might provide clues about the budgetary trends and thrusts of the fiscal policy. Economists predict a a deficit of $134 billion for November.
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